CRISIS ACTIVE — Hormuz Closure Week 6
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LIVE
BRENT CRUDE: US$109.24/bbl (+52.4%)WTI CRUDE: US$106.82/bbl (+49.1%)SINGAPORE MOGAS 95: US$89.14/bbl (+38.2%) — AU RETAIL LEADING INDICATORAUD/USD: 0.6234 (-4.8%) — WEAKER AUD = MORE EXPENSIVE FUELNATIONAL ULP AVG: 234.8¢/L (+33%)NATIONAL DIESEL AVG: 287.6¢/L (+59.5%)SHIPS INBOUND: 56 vessels | FUEL INBOUND: 332 MLDIESEL RESERVES: 332 ML | DAYS COVER: 2.6d inboundSTATION OUTAGES: 312 diesel | 400 petrolSYDNEY: ULP 228¢ | DIESEL 305.8¢MELBOURNE: ULP 233¢ | DIESEL 275¢BRISBANE: ULP 236¢ | DIESEL 280¢PERTH: ULP 222.3¢ | DIESEL 305.2¢HORMUZ STRAIT: ~16 TRANSITS/DAY (NORMAL: 130) — 12% CAPACITY — WEEK 6NATIONAL FUEL SECURITY PLAN: LEVEL 2 | IRAN TRANSIT FEE: US$2M/TANKERNEXT ARRIVAL: CL AGATHA CHRISTIE → MELBOURNE (ETA 5 Apr)BRENT CRUDE: US$109.24/bbl (+52.4%)WTI CRUDE: US$106.82/bbl (+49.1%)SINGAPORE MOGAS 95: US$89.14/bbl (+38.2%) — AU RETAIL LEADING INDICATORAUD/USD: 0.6234 (-4.8%) — WEAKER AUD = MORE EXPENSIVE FUELNATIONAL ULP AVG: 234.8¢/L (+33%)NATIONAL DIESEL AVG: 287.6¢/L (+59.5%)SHIPS INBOUND: 56 vessels | FUEL INBOUND: 332 MLDIESEL RESERVES: 332 ML | DAYS COVER: 2.6d inboundSTATION OUTAGES: 312 diesel | 400 petrolSYDNEY: ULP 228¢ | DIESEL 305.8¢MELBOURNE: ULP 233¢ | DIESEL 275¢BRISBANE: ULP 236¢ | DIESEL 280¢PERTH: ULP 222.3¢ | DIESEL 305.2¢HORMUZ STRAIT: ~16 TRANSITS/DAY (NORMAL: 130) — 12% CAPACITY — WEEK 6NATIONAL FUEL SECURITY PLAN: LEVEL 2 | IRAN TRANSIT FEE: US$2M/TANKERNEXT ARRIVAL: CL AGATHA CHRISTIE → MELBOURNE (ETA 5 Apr)
SHIPS INBOUND
56vessels
FUEL INBOUND
332ML
DAYS COVER
2.6days inbound
DIESEL PRICE
287.6¢/L avg
BRENT CRUDE
US$109.24/bbl
AUD/USD
0.6234
STRAIT OF HORMUZ
TRANSITS/DAY:~16(normal: 130)
CAPACITY:12%of pre-crisis
ATTACKS (7D):0confirmed
TREND:+4vs last week
LIVE VESSEL TRACKING — AUSTRALIAN WATERS
FULL MAP
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Map data ©2026 Google
Map data ©2026 Google
VESSEL TRACKING
Tracked85
In Transit30
Arrived48
Total Cargo2488 ML
Est. Diesel376 ML
Next ArrivalCL AGATHA CHRISTIE
MELBOURNE · ETA 5 Apr
MARKET CRASH RISK
87/100
CRASH RISK
MODEL EXHAUSTION
Week 3
~19 Apr 2026
Net drain: -1,149 ML/wk
Hormuz Closure DurationCRITICAL
Asian Refinery CapacityCRITICAL
Tanker Flow to AUCRITICAL
Domestic RefiningSEVERE
PORT STATUS
ALL →
SydneyNSW
53%
16 arrivals vs 30 normalNext: 6 Apr
MelbourneVIC
6%
2 arrivals vs 36 normalNext: 5 Apr
BrisbaneQLD
16%
4 arrivals vs 25 normalNext: 5 Apr
PerthWA
26%
6 arrivals vs 23 normalNext: 6 Apr
AdelaideSA
10%
1 arrivals vs 10 normalNext: 6 Apr
NATIONAL FUEL RESERVESSource: DCCEEW MSO Statistics 31 Mar 2026 + FuelSecurity model
Petrol (ULP)
SEVERE
641ML in reserve
GOVT EST.39d
MODEL EST.15d
IEA 90d target44 ML/day
Diesel
CRITICAL
1,122ML in reserve
GOVT EST.29d
MODEL EST.12d
IEA 90d target92 ML/day
Jet Fuel
SEVERE
385ML in reserve
GOVT EST.30d
MODEL EST.15d
IEA 90d target25 ML/day
RESERVE DEPLETION PROJECTION
W1W2W3W4W5W6W7W80600120018002400
Reserves
Weekly Supply
PORT ARRIVALS: CURRENT vs BASELINE
SydneyMelbourneBrisbanePerthAdelaideDarwinNewcastleTownsville09182736
Baseline
Current (crisis)
DATA SOURCES: FuelSecurity.com.au · ABC News · The Guardian · DCCEEW MSO Statistics · NSW FuelCheck API · WA FuelWatch · AIP Terminal Gate Prices · VesselFinder AIS · MarineTrafficLast updated: 6 Apr, 08:31 am AEST